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Sunday, October 16, 2011

Revolving Door Terrorism

The Shalit deal will release some of the worst murderers in Israeli history, including those responsible for the Dolphinarium disco bombing which killed over a dozen teenagers, the Sbarro pizza bombing which wiped out an entire family, the lynchers of two Israeli reservists and the Passover Massacre at the Park Hotel.

This is Israel's worst military defeat in its modern history and it is being celebrated with grins and cheers, not just in Gaza but in Tel Aviv.

What the deal really means is revolving door terrorism is back. Kill Israelis and you stay in prison only long enough for other terrorists to kidnap an Israeli and win their release. Those 25 year sentences mean nothing. A life sentence doesn't mean life, it means however many years it takes the Israeli government to give in to blackmail.

As over a thousand terrorists are freed, it is time to recognize that every Israeli institution has failed to deal with terrorism. Its court system packed with career leftists is a joke. Its prisons have become nothing more than temporary housing with free education and entertainment for terrorist murderers in between their release under international or Hamas pressure.

The military excels at targeted strikes on empty warehouses and at sending unprotected units without artillery cover into enemy villages. While the soldiers are fighting and dying, denied artillery and air support, the generals who sent them there are planning which party they'll join after they retire. Usually the left, which needs military credibility and cover more.

Domestic law enforcement is excellent if you want to crack down on some "right wing extremists" who might be putting up a hut somewhere in violation of some voluntary construction freeze. Elite units can be on the way as soon as possible, backed by intelligence from embedded assets and security agencies who will have dossiers waiting on all the participants.

But if you took a bullet through your windshield, or a fist sized rock, while driving near an Arab village it's best to drive home and tell no one about it. If you do contact law enforcement, a weary police officer will tell you the same thing. And if you still insist on being foolish enough, then an investigation will begin and the local friendly Mohamedans will claim that you fired shots at them first. If you're lucky you won't spend any time in prison, but you will spend months dealing with the legal system, while your attackers will be represented free of charge by NGO's funded by America, Europe and Soros.

If you are unlucky and your attackers go to the trouble of putting on a good show and the Times picks up on it, then you will get a sentence anywhere from five to twenty-five years (depending on whether there is a fake corpse too) and your sentence will be an actual sentence. It will not be waived every time the terrorists kidnap a soldier. And unlike Noam Shalit, no one will pay attention to your parents when they cry and plead. They will be lucky if they aren't dragged out of court while the judge goes off to attend a seminar on human rights put on by those same NGO's.

Then there are the politicians. Israel has three types of politicians. The absolutely corrupt, who believe in nothing and will vote for anything. They form the majority of all parties. The left, which believes that Israel is an immoral state. The right which makes patriotic speeches while following  the policies of the left on everything but the economy. That is why Israel has a successful economy and a failed war on terrorism.

The country's economic inventiveness disguises its political malaise. The left has never admitted that its policies have failed, and the right has promised to follow its policies but with a more responsible emphasis on national security. There are no original ideas, only a succession of politicians trying to stay in power for more than four years while maintaining the status quo.

Israeli politicians are drawn from three groups. The sons of political figures, the military and minority activists. The leaders of all Israel's major parties come from one of these categories.What they all have in common is a complete lack of original ideas. Foreign Minister Lieberman, for all his faults and buffoonery, is the only prominent figure in the government who comes up with ideas. Which is why it's vital for pundits to compare him to Hitler and for the same foreign governments who fund those NGO's to urge the Israeli government to form into an incestuous Kadima-Likud bloc.

Israel's mainstream political establishment is a complete failure, on the left and the right. The mainstream electorate which supports Kadima even more so. Its only sources of vitality come from Russian, Middle-Eastern and Anglo immigrants who still haven't been beaten down into the Israeli way of doing things. Who still haven't adopted the cynical optimism that shrugs and refuses to think five steps forward. That cheers Gilad Shalit's release, the return of Barak, the return of Netanyahu and the same old revolving door political establishment leading to the same old revolving door terrorism, while admitting that none of it really means anything.

Hamas won because it had an objective, a long term strategy meant to achieve its goals. Israel has no objectives, except to keep the violence down to a minimum. Its strategic objectives are to avoid pain as much as possible. The Shalit decision ties into that strategy. After Noam Shalit and his allies terrorized the political establishment, in conjunction with Hamas, Noam and Hamas got their way. The terrorists go free, if Gilad is alive, he will probably go free too. I say "probably" because three years ago when Israel made this swap with Hezbollah, it got bodies in exchange for terrorists.

Israel only goes on the offensive as a defensive strategy. Bomb the terrorists a bit to remind the Israeli public that their government isn't completely incompetent and warn the terrorists to keep the violence down. If the terrorists go too far, then it might be a whole month of attacks, where soldier's lives are traded as a warning. A warning that means nothing.

The noise and furor over the so-called "Price Tag" attacks is pathetic hypocrisy when the attacks consist of civilians in dangerous areas practicing the policy of the Israeli government. And practicing it more honestly and more competently than the generals who trade off dozens of lives for a few hundred terrorists and six months of calm. The same generals who wisely stroke their chins and assure the public that they know what they're doing. And they do. But what they're doing isn't fighting terrorism, it's achieving a temporary calm through temporary violence that makes them and their bosses look good, without actually stopping terrorism.

The Israeli war on terrorism has failed. It failed when Rabin and Peres cut a deal with Arafat. It failed when Israel adopted a defensive strategy of retreating behind walls, real or imaginary. It failed when Israel traded off the worst terrorists in its prisons for a brief rush of positive feelings which is what the Shalit deal really comes down to. That and Netanyahu taking some of the pressure off.

Israel has no plan for going forward. The left can only think of cutting more deals with terrorists while pretending the outcome will be somehow different than it has been for nearly twenty years. The right has no policy except minimizing the pain of the status quo. It will do anything if it's pressured enough, and if it isn't pressured, then it takes out maps and begins planning a workable ghetto state for itself behind virtual fences and anti-missile defenses.

Savlanut is not the solution. At some point you either go on the offensive against the core problem, or you lose. The joke from the Six Day War was that Nasser had borrowed the Soviet strategy from WW2 of retreating and then waiting for the snow to bury the Israelis. The joke has now been turned around. It's the Israeli political and military establishment which is retreating and waiting for the snow to bury the terrorists. But the snow isn't coming.

The terrorists have been going steadily on the offensive and they are winning. Most Israelis will deny that, but it's a fact. The UN hubbub and the Shalit deal are reminders of it. Things will not get any better by ignoring the problem. They will not get better with Hasbara. They will not get better if the terrorists are given free reign to demonstrate that they're not interested in peace. They will not get better at the negotiating table. They will not get better after a few weeks of bombing. They will not get better until the core problem is addressed.

The core problem is that Israel has armed terrorist groups operating within its borders. Those groups have military and political objectives that they are closer than ever to achieving. Those groups include the PA and Hamas. Israel will either drive out those groups, or in combination with sponsoring Muslim states, the UN and even their European allies, they will destroy Israel.

The snow isn't coming. The terrorists, the Turks, the Iranians, the Syrians and Egyptians are.

28 comments:

Anonymous said...

No worries. The IDF has got it all solved. There will be no more kidnappings because soldiers are now instructed to blow themselves up instead:

http://israelmatzav.blogspot.com/2011/10/idf-soldiers-told-to-blow-themselves-up.html

S. Richard said...

The soviets wanted to take reality and redefine it based on the ideology of the moment. Propaganda overcame experience. Kulak children were made to watch movies with overflowing banquet tables and told they weren't starving, the soviet farming plan was a huge success! The Israeli Jew has taken the "reality" the world feeds them and has adjusted their lives to become ghettoized, punishing themselves for the benefit of a world that largely wants Jews dead. Is the Israeli left next going to demand Holocaust revisionism be taught in the schools to prove sensitivity to Arab pain over the "occupation"? For the left, ideology trumps reality every time, no matter the cost in lives.

Lemon said...

Israel needs to ask itself why those murderers were still alive to be set free.

Jewel said...

I feel so much sorrow, I don't even know where to begin. All I can do is weep. Is there not a man among the Israelis who has the testicular fortitude necessary to say no to any of this?
If the young man managed to survive his ordeal, wouldn't it just be the bracing slap in the face for him to come home a Muslim convert? I'm sure the press would like that a lot.

mindRider said...

A great analogy to make when describing this terrible event to the gentiles is and what they strange enough DO get: Immagine a child molester is freed from jail and want to return to his pre-jail city, see how the inhabitants holler and protest! These are ruthless trained killers that they return. It is against the advise given by a kidnaped Raw in the medeaval time who told his community not to free him at sums that would not only wreck this community but also entice the land-lord to repeat kidnappings if he got his way. The raw eventually died in captivity.

Ex-Dissident said...

This whole world is insane. Israel is no different.

Kristin Solo said...

The hordes of allah will keep coming, like swarms of locusts, driven by an intrinsic vehement hatred & an insatiable blood lust, disguised as religious zeal!
Israel is facing a relentless & an implacable foe & needs to adopt a more offensive & forceful strategy to eradicate the Hamas rats' nests in Gaza & eliminate the Hezbollah vermin in Lebanon, along with their poxy proxies, Iran & Syria!
Hopefully the thousand murdering jail birds exchanged for one Son of Zion will get caught in the cross fire!

Rita said...

Israel cannot win. :(

No-one can win against Israel's ennemies.

The most depressing thing I read recently came from somebody sounding just soooooo resigned and tired. He said: "Civilisations are born and Civilisations die, ours is dying, in 5, 10, 50, 100 years, I dont know, but it's dying.

Someone a bit more upbeat, "Sheikyermami" is more to my liking;)

http://sheikyermami.com/wp-content/uploads/Nuke-Mecca.jpg

Jewel said...

I heard a statistic this morning that 80% of the Israelis support this measure. I find that depressing and astonishing, if true.

Daniel Greenfield @ the Sultan Knish blog said...

Ex-Dissident, unfortunately true

Jewel, in Israel captured soldiers are considered everyone's sons so people are willing to make extreme sacrifices. Wisely or not.

Jewel said...

I understand, Daniel. If Gilad is returned as a corpse, what do you think the reaction will be?

Irwin Ruff said...

My suggestion is more extreme and would probably be rejected by many Jews: first, somehow take over the Israeli government by the right, actually and not mimicking the left. Reduce the left to an ineffectual body (this is almost true, but the right keeps trying to imitate the left).

Second, kick out the arabs. This hopefully can be done bloodlessly, by means of payments, but if not, using force. I believe it was Rabbi Kahana who said "No more Arabs, no more terror".

Third, recognize that we are in a state of war and act accordingly, not the play-acting used with Gaza.

Forth, re-instate the death penalty, and apply it to all terrorists, perhaps with a pig in each grave.

Undoubtedly the nations of the world will denounce this policy and impose sanctions, etc. So, what difference will there be from the present? Iran, Syria, China, Sudan, and all the other muslim countries are still considered honored members of the UN while Israel is considered a pariah. Would there be any change?

Daniel Greenfield @ the Sultan Knish blog said...

the dead will be buried, the idiocy will go on

Paul said...

Maybe it is official at this point. Israel is nothing more than a self governing ghetto in Palestine. It seems that this is all the rest of the world really wanted for Israel. Israel is to be forever available for the sadistic gratification of the Islamo-Catholic global authorities.

Other events suggest further enforcement of such an order on Israel. The US and Saudi Arabia are conducting joint exercises in the area and NATO continues to bomb Lybia.

But Shalit is not back yet, and the fallout from this is not really going to be seen until this whole deal is completed. There is a possibility that Iron Dome has proven itself beyond all expectations. Is this why we haven't seen any missiles lately from Gaza? And also the big September declaration of independence for the Palestinian nationalist was a huge flop. It was all supposed to go ugly in September. It didn't. Syria is still up in the air and so is Lybia.

While anti-Semitism still holds the high ground in the world, resistance is steady and is gaining a certain amount of inertia to hold its ground. And anti-Semitism is just one symptom of the basic problem.

Keli Ata said...

No easy answers:(

With Hamas making more demands to release eight additional prisoners and the terror victims/survivors filing lawsuits...well, I won't believe that Gilad Shalit is home until he is home.

Hamas lied about 18-year old civilian Eliyahu Asheri. The poor boy was kidnapped while Hamas assured people that he was a live.

All the while, Eliyahu was lying in a shallow grave.


I just pray to G-d that Gilad isn't returned in a pine box.

Edgar Davidson said...

Daniel

This is again a very fine piece - the best I have read on this subject.

Anonymous said

"No worries. The IDF has got it all solved. There will be no more kidnappings because soldiers are now instructed to blow themselves up instead"

The problem is that Hamas plans to capture civilians (which incidentally it will say are soldiers - and the main stream media will accept the Hamas line).

but pygmies said...

Sultan -- I think the Jews of Israel are doing what Jews have always done -- trying to make everybody else see how "good" we are, both from a desire to not be beaten up (which history clearly shows does not work), and a desire to prove that we are (morally, ethically) better than they are. Proving being better is, one might say, winning the booby-prize.

I could not help but notice that recently, after a generation of civil war, the Sri Lankan Buddhists (you know, the enlightened people) got tired of the Tamil terrorists who wanted to take their country from them, and massacred 40,000 people. Nobody peeped about them being more isolated, worse than the Nazis, etc. Just the world shrugging its shoulders. And the Buddhists won.

My ex-, not Jewish wife once, wisely I think, said, while scratching her head, "What's wrong with you Jews? Why don't you put those people over there (Arabs across the Jordan), and keep you people over here? That would solve the problem easy! You Jews are just too nice. (This was a year before the Egypt piece-of-paper treaty.)

It will happen because it has to happen. and we will have to do it...

Daniel Greenfield @ the Sultan Knish blog said...

bp, I sure hope you're right

Nomadic100 said...

Sultan, this post is most depressing, but I suspect your propositions are accurate. The freeing of 1000+ terrorists for Shalit is despicable, even accounting for Israeli mores. If captured soldiers are considered everyone's sons, that is a problem Hamas et al. will readily exploit. Somehow, I don't believe that the IDF's instruction to soldiers to blow themselves up rather than be kidnapped will cut the mustard. The next kidnapping will probably occur in a month or so.

Anonymous said...

80% of Israelis support the deal. Each and one of them thinks first of himself, what if it would happen to me or to my loved ones, it's comforting to think that the government cares (or so they think). So they are ready to pay for the deal and the hell with the suffering of the victims, it makes them feel good and righteous. Only they are blind wilfully or not, there is not going to be such an exchange ever in the future. First there are no hard killers left in prisons, no barriers to lower, people are starting to think with the head not the heart, many feel betrayed especially the victims and of course we are waiting for the victims to come which will brings howls of pain and soul searching. We are weak and pay for that weakness with the destruction of the society's cohesiveness. Let's not forget the government, courts and media protect only the left; religious and "settlers" are identified with the enemy. Any religious person who supports this deal must have their heads checked, it's not for them, never intended, never will.

Linda Rivera said...

Peace is achieved only through utter defeat of the enemy. But peace is the last thing the Quartet wants Israel to have. And since the Oslo Covenant with Death, Israeli leaders don't want peace either. They prefer negotiating with, and making nice with Muslim terrorist PLO/PA.

Israeli leaders HATE Jews and ADORE Muslims, especially barbaric Muslim terrorist killers, who, once caught, get to live like rock stars in Israeli jails confident in the knowledge they will soon be freed to a heroes' welcome in the PA. Eager to rejoin the jihad; freed Muslim terrorists live for the sole purpose of murdering and maiming as many Jews as possible. Israeli leaders don't care. Muslim terrorists are their favorites.

Linda Rivera said...

Only monsters, free monsters.

Anonymous said...

Edgar, I was being sarcastic in offering that factoid about the IDF policy. Of course it's inane. And of course Hamas will kidnap anyone they can. It's all horrible.

Orfan said...

I am an Israeli~while 100% of us are be relieved that one of ours is back, we are fed up with the stupidity of our politicians and courts empowering terror. Barak has been busy taking all weapons away from people in Judea and Samaria, leaving them unarmed and unprotected by the army. Bibi has agreed to end the siege on Gaza. I work close to Arab villages, and the noise I am hearing the last few days makes me afraid--for the first time since I made Aliyah. Shalit's leftist father had the chutzpah to say "inshaalla" to the press and his family accuses the families of former victims of not siding with them. They are, in a word, despicable. This was a bad deal, and now, we in Israel must be prepared to bury more of our people because Hamas has already announced they will kidnap more and more...unless they are able to reach the goal in their charter, which is to wipe us off the earth. It feels like we have descended into madness. Thanks for writing the truth--very few have the insight and courage to do so these days.

Anonymous said...

80% of Israelis support the deal because this is what is needed now. A volunteers army cannot operate without this solidarity. Countries that use professional soldiers can play differently and even they pay a lot secretly to terror groups.
It is very nice to be "right" when you only write blogs.

Daniel Greenfield @ the Sultan Knish blog said...

What's needed is an end to terror, not more terror.

Daniel Greenfield @ the Sultan Knish blog said...

Orfan, it's easier to say it outside Israel, but I regret not speaking out more harshly about the Shalits earlier than I did. It wouldn't have made a difference, but shattering speech taboos is also important.

The surrender to terrorism has radicalized Israel's arab population at every turn.

dee said...

Lemon said: "Israel needs to ask itself why those murderers were still alive to be set free."

Spot on. The Germans got it right when they were being blackmailed for the release of the Baader Meinhoff gang, who mysteriously committed synchronised suicide whilst held incommunicado in different high security prisons, and using items that are not accessible to prisoners in such an environment.

Neat and convenient...and guess what, nobody again took hostages demanding the release of those particular terrorists.

It is a pity that with progress and affluence in our 'enlightened' age come the moral and intellectual cowardice that compels the most advanced civilisation in history to sacrifice the lives of its own people in order to appease those that wish to murder them.

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