Thursday, January 18, 2007

Halutz Down, Peretz and Olmert Remain the Two To Go

Corrupt political structures are like a medieval fortress with layers of fortifications protecting the interior, exterior fortifications are sacrificed to protect the interior.

The first response of Olmert to the Lebanon disaster was to begin tossing out scapegoats that had nothing to do with the issue by creating phony sex scandals aimed at President Katsav and Justice Minister Haim Ramon. The scandal against the President, who had never been an ally of Olmert and Ramon who remained a rival to Olmert's ally, Defense Minister Amir Peretz was pushed as far as it could go. As a tactic it failed and is now mostly out of sight.

The next tactic of Olmert was to try and move on and hope the public forgot what had happened. Vaguely conciliatory statements were made opposing unilateral withdrawal combined with rolling over prone for Rice's peace proposals. This didn't work either.

With the outer defenses breached, it was time to begin sacrificing the people who actually were responsible for the disaster. The outer layer is always the military which has the least political influence and the most accountability. The ground had been prepared for this by leaking Halutz's stock options buy early in the game, sending the message that he would be the first to go. While Halutz initially played games stating that he was "taking responsibility by remaining in office", which was initially Nixon's idea of taking responsibility as well, now Halutz is gone.

Halutz was the first of three figures. The second and next on the list will be Peretz, who is already under siege and the Labor Party has all but been handed over to Barak. The first and last is Ehud Olmert himself, around whom the investigations are beginning to deepen. A lot of major political players staked their political fortunes on Kadima and they're not about to let Olmert drag them and their new party down with him. Sharon might have managed to hold on, but it is altogether likely that the political and most especially the business interests behind the scenes will decide that Kadima needs a new ruler and then Olmert will go the way of Halutz as has Peretz before him.

This should not be met with any particular rejoicing though because what we are fighting is not an individual or individuals but a corrupt political culture that has seized power with a death grip and is destroying the country. There will be replacements found for Olmert and Peretz all too easily and more political generals will be found from the old boys club. Replacing Olmert with another Olmert is no victory. (No more than replacing Olmert with Avigdor Lieberman or Ehud Barak) Only reforming its leadership can change and save the nation.

And so the game of twelve little indians goes on.


Lemon Lime Moon said...

The entire political structure in Israel is rotten to the core.
They have lost their way completely and have no idea what or who Israel even is.

Yobeeone said...

They make Jezebel seem like June Cleaver.

Keliata said...

Even if Olmert resigns or is impeached, Kadima will come out with platitudes about new beginnings, restoring the public trust blah blah blah.

Living in a city and county with two state control boards (most corrupt city and county in the US) I've heard it all before. Corruption is reduced from criminal offenses to "only" ethical laspes that should be dealt with not by the FBI but internally, by the corrupt governments themselves.

Why do people continue to vote corrupt politicos into office? I don't have clue.

Udiyah said...

If Olmert goes does that mean Livni will take his place like Olmert took Sharon's place?

Sultan Knish said...

it's what Livni wants no doubt but she's too weak

Keliata said...

Who could potentially take Olmert's place? Any potential candidates?

Sultan Knish said...

Well the current PM candidates are Lieberman, who's dirty but puts on a right wing face

Barak is making a comeback, so is Netanyahu yet again

Within Kadima, we have Livni, Peres may yet make a bid, Ramon may not be done either

Lemon Lime Moon said...

Same old same old.. and the band plays on while Israel sinks into the sunset.

yobeeone said...

"Who could potentially take Olmert's place? Any potential candidates?"

Considering a tough little third grader could do a better job than Olmert, I'd say anyone could. The problem is, only criminals run for office. I suppose they'll find some x-con to promote and hide his prison record until he's near the end of office.

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